Fewer Americans Self-Identify as Democrats Than Ever Before
Republican self-ID is down, too.
Republican self-identification is also near historic lows at 26%; however, Republicans have not had as far to fall. Further, the fact that Independent self-identification has been on the steady rise masks the fact that those Independents have come to vote overwhelmingly Republican.
The facts on the ground are that beyond their self-identified voting base, the Democrats do a miserable job of attracting voters. They need committed Democrats to stand a chance to win. Believe it or not, but here in 2016, we are probably seeing the all-time post-Reconstruction high water mark for the GOP, with Republicans claiming over 60% of state legislatures, over 60% of state governorships, and both houses of Congress. The only office the Democrats have left is the Presidency and they look prepared to throw that away by nominating an unlikeable harpy who may well be under indictment for a portion of the electoral contest.
The end result of a world in which both Republican and Democrat self-ID continues to plummet is a world in which Republicans continue to win elections.
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